How Ripple Is Screwing XRP Bagholders

Ripple the company’s existence evolves around denying that it has anything to do with Ripple the coin. It’s obvious that they are inextricably linked, first because they are both called “Ripple”, and then because Ripple the company owns the majority of Ripple coins. However, their whole business model is dependent on XRP, the Ripple coin, not being legally associated to the Ripple company. Here’s why.

Continue reading “How Ripple Is Screwing XRP Bagholders”

Ripple’s Lie About Its Santander Partnership

I got a lot of heat for my last piece, “Ripple’s “200+ Institutional Clients” Claim Is A Scam“. Scores of Ripple fanboys and Twitter bots accused me of cherry-picking the noise, and ignoring the legitimate heavyweights in Ripple’s long list of clients. Well, let’s look into the true nature Ripple’s most impressive “partnership”: the international banking giant Santander.

Continue reading “Ripple’s Lie About Its Santander Partnership”

Ripple’s “200+ Institutional Clients” Claim Is A Scam

Ripple is scraping the bottom of the barrel, trying to make it look like someone is using its “technology”. Its “partnerships” are nothing but non-binding promises of maybe one day have a look at its platform, and the “financial institutions” that supposedly use Ripple are just one-page websites without a product.

Continue reading “Ripple’s “200+ Institutional Clients” Claim Is A Scam”

Russian Government About To 51% Attack Ethereum

After reading Daily Hodl’s piece about how Russia is about to ditch US dollars for Bitcoin, I decided to investigate the matter. The tweet by Vladislav Ginko implying that the Russian government is about to invest most of it foreign currency reserve holdings into Bitcoin, turned out to be a decoy. Kremlin is about to get into crypto, big time – but it wants to cover its tracks.

Continue reading “Russian Government About To 51% Attack Ethereum”

Bitcoin Extreme Price Move Tracker

To give you an image of how often Bitcoin’s intraday price is out of whack, I’ve pieced together this simple Javascript tool that annotates every 1-minute candle that’s longer than 5 standard deviations, or “sigmas”.

It’s a small follow-up to my last piece, “Price Moves Show Bitcoin Is A Penny Stock“. It’s dynamic, too, so you can come back whenever you like a re-check what’s going on.

Continue reading “Bitcoin Extreme Price Move Tracker”

Price Moves Show Bitcoin Is A Penny Stock

“The Bart” is a commonly known pattern in Bitcoin charts, to the point of having become a meme on Twitter and reddit. It’s a figure formed by sudden moves in Bitcoin price, followed by period of relative calm.

“The Bart” has become a joke among Bitcoin critics, who point to the Bart as evidence that crypto exchanges manipulate prices to burn margin traders. To see if that’s true, I’ve performed a statistical analysis of Bitcoin candlestick distribution, and compared it to that of a blue-chip stock: IBM.

My conclusion? Bitcoin price moves appear out of whack because all the liquidity is fake. Bitcoin is in reality a penny stock, with 2% bid-ask spreads.

Continue reading “Price Moves Show Bitcoin Is A Penny Stock”

Why Is Bitcoin Worth Anything At All, Part II

In the first part of this long post, I’ve identified three instances where Bitcoin was used for transactions, namely: pizza, drugs, and ICOs. I’ve postulated that the transactional nature of Bitcoin doesn’t confer it any long-term value, but instead creates speculative bubbles due to long transaction periods, and the price inelasticity of demand for transactions.

In this second part, I’ll first outline why it’s nonsensical to fantasise about Bitcoin becoming a widespread currency in its current form, basically debunking Saifedean Ammous’ arguments inspired from the Austrian School of Economics. Then, I’ll consider its potential as a launchpad for new, innovative financial instruments – a feature that is indeed promising, although still a dream.

Continue reading “Why Is Bitcoin Worth Anything At All, Part II”

Why Is Bitcoin Worth Anything At All?

Despite all the hype, speculation and FOMO, nobody got close to a credible valuation model for Bitcoin. Those who, like Tom Lee, claim that “Bitcoin is worth X dollars”, usually simply run a regression of Bitcoin’s price against a few variables, and pretend that correlation equals causation.

To come up with a valuation model for Bitcoin, one first has to understand where its value comes from. I’ll go through the usual suspects – means of transaction (check out the part on speculation cycles !), store of value, network effect, and try to explore new sources of value.

Continue reading “Why Is Bitcoin Worth Anything At All?”

An Exclusive Interview With Pomp

“Pomp”, a fictional character that appeared to me in a dream, shouldn’t be confused with Anthony Pompliano, whom I’ve never met, spoken to, or interacted with in any other way than just screwing around his Twitter handle until he banned me.

Continue reading “An Exclusive Interview With Pomp”

6 Reasons Why Bitcoin Will Go Back Up

Enough with the pessimism. Bitcoin is down 80% from all time highs, we get it. So what? It has happened so many times before, and will happen again. You can’t have outsized returns without outsized volatility. We’re still on track for $1,000,000 by 2022, as I predicted in mid-2018, and here are the reasons for it.

Continue reading “6 Reasons Why Bitcoin Will Go Back Up”